WEEKLY MARKET INTELLIGENCE VOL IX

MARKET ACTIVITY RECALIBRATES AS END-USER DEMAND STRENGTHENS

Dubai’s real estate sector recorded AED 5.9B in transactions last week, underpinned by steady participation
across residential, commercial, and branded segments. Branded residences continued to feature prominently,
reinforcing their role as a resilient demand driver within the premium category.

This week’s activity highlights a market increasingly supported by policy-led end-user demand,
diversified transaction flow, and long-term confidence across residential and commercial segments.
Rather than short-term volume spikes, current signals point toward depth, accessibility, and sustainability.

Market

Deep Dive

First-Time Buyers Strengthen End-User Base

Dubai’s First-Time Home Buyer programme continues to gain traction,
driving AED 885M in sales as over 2,000 residents entered the market.

This initiative is expanding homeownership access while reinforcing long-term occupancy demand —
a key stabiliser across market cycles.

Looking Ahead: 2026 Price Outlook

Market forecasts suggest property prices will continue to rise into 2026,
with office assets expected to outperform residential due to constrained
Grade-A supply and sustained corporate demand.

Residential growth is projected to moderate, favouring villas, townhouses,
and well-located communities over generic apartment stock.

Residential communities

A Liquidity Baseline for the Next Cycle
Dubai closed 2025 with over 200,000 residential transactions, setting a historic
benchmark for market liquidity and participation. Apartment and villa pricing trends
reflect broad-based demand rather than isolated surges.

JANUARY 29, 2026